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The Currency Desk

Weekly briefings on Pound Sterling, Euro and US Dollar markets.

Pound Sterling

Pound Sterling analysis

Bank of England, UK data, gilts and the politics that move the Pound. Every GBP briefing we've published.

Most recent

Pound Sterling17 May 2026

Sterling Faces a Political and Economic Stress Test

Labour turmoil, rising inflation concerns and escalating Middle East tensions leave GBP increasingly vulnerable as markets enter a highly headline-driven week.

By Prem Raja · 5 min read

Pound Sterling12 Apr 2026

Markets Still Caught Between Headlines and Hope

Last week was another clear reminder that, for now, geopolitics is firmly in the driving seat. Early in the week, markets reacted positively to news that Donald Trump would enter negotiations with…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling8 Mar 2026

Geopolitics Dominates, But Data Still Matters

The past week has been unlike almost any other in recent memory for global markets. The joint US–Israeli military campaign against Iran, launched on 28 February under the codename Operation Epic…

By Prem Raja · 6 min read

Pound Sterling1 Mar 2026

Quarter-End, Geopolitics, NFP: The Perfect Storm

Markets opened this week against a backdrop of significant geopolitical escalation. Over the weekend, reports confirmed coordinated strikes on Iranian targets, followed by retaliatory activity across…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling21 Dec 2025

2025 FX Wrapped & 2026 Outlook

As we reach the final days of 2025, the currency markets stand at a fascinating crossroads. This year has been defined by a Great Divergence, a period where long standing economic trends were upended…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling14 Dec 2025

A Pivotal Week for FX Markets Before the Year-End Slowdown

Last week was largely defined by the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. As expected, the Fed delivered a 25 basis point cut and signalled that two further reductions are likely through 2026.…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling30 Nov 2025

December Kick-off: A Quiet Start to a Fast-Approaching Year-End

Last week's UK Budget proved to be a non-event for the currency markets, with Sterling ending the week virtually unchanged against both the Euro and the US Dollar. This lack of significant reaction,…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling5 Oct 2025

Weekly Market Outlook: Markets Quiet as U.S. Shutdown Drags On

Last week was relatively volatile across the markets, largely driven by ongoing uncertainty in Washington as the U.S. Government shutdown enters its second week . So far, there’s still no clear path…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling28 Sept 2025

Weekly Market Outlook: October Begins With Volatility Ahead

As we close out September and step into October, markets are preparing for another month filled with volatility. Interest rate cuts remain firmly on the agenda, economic data is stacked throughout…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling21 Sept 2025

Weekly Market Outlook: Digesting Central Bank Moves

After a turbulent week packed with central bank decisions, the days ahead look relatively calmer, but by no means without interest. The Federal Reserve delivered a 25bps cut as expected, while also…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling10 Aug 2025

FX Market Outlook – A Volatile August Continues

Last week brought more turbulence to currency markets, with the Bank of England’s decision to cut interest rates delivering an unexpected short-term boost to Sterling. The move was widely…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling20 Jul 2025

Sterling Struggles Continue- What to Watch This Week

It was another tough week for Sterling, dropping to around 1.1530 against the Euro and settling near 1.34 against the Dollar, mostly due to disappointing economic data out of the UK. With July nearly…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling23 Mar 2025

Sterling Steady as Markets Await Crucial UK Spring Budget

Last week was relatively steady for Sterling exchange rates, with the Bank of England's latest meeting delivering no surprises. As widely expected, the BoE kept rates unchanged at 4.50%, reflecting…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling2 Mar 2025

Currency Market Outlook: Recent Volatility and Key Events Ahead

Last Week's Market Movements Last week brought significant volatility to the currency markets, particularly for Sterling and US Dollar pairs. We observed GBP/EUR rising to 1.2120, GBP/USD climbing to…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling19 Jan 2025

Sterling Market Review and Week Ahead Insights

Last week was challenging for Sterling, with disappointing data culminating in weak retail sales figures. This pushed GBPEUR to 1.18 and GBPUSD to 1.21. Just two months ago, GBPEUR was trading above…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling22 Dec 2024

Rough week for Sterling exchange rates going into Christmas.

Last week was a pretty volatile week from a Sterling and Dollar perspective- with both central banks having their interest rate decision within 24 hours of each other. The Fed decided to cut 25bps…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling15 Dec 2024

Sterling weaker after GDP data.

Sterling ended the week on a pretty negative note following weak UK GDP data with GBPEUR falling to 1.20, and GBPUSD falling to 1.26. The biggest concern with the data was that the services sector in…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling8 Dec 2024

Big week for Central Bank decisions.

Last week French politics took the spotlight with a vote of no confidence resulting in the current Government being dissolved. Upon PM Barniner's exit, there has been much positive movement with…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling1 Dec 2024

What will affect Sterling exchange rates in December?

November was a very volatile month mainly due to the U.S. presidential election and issues in the German government, we saw some big moves in FX, we have GBPEUR at 1.20, EURUSD at 1.05 (Down from…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling24 Nov 2024

Sterling weaker after bad Retail Sales.

Last week ended on a weaker note for Sterling following weak PMI data and weak retail sales numbers, this led to lower exchange rates against both the Euro and the Dollar. This week is the last week…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling17 Nov 2024

Sterling finishes the week lower across the board.

On Friday UK GDP numbers showed that growth in the UK had slowed down to just 0.1% by September, which has had an instant negative impact on Sterling exchange rates. What this release has shown is…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling10 Nov 2024

Sterling higher after volatile week.

Last week was probably the biggest week of the year on financial markets with Trump winning the US Presidential Election, the Bank of England cutting rates by 25 bps and the Fed also cutting rates by…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling3 Nov 2024

Elections & Central Banks In Focus This Week

Following the bond sell off's last week after the Chancellor's Autumn budget, the Pound has managed to steady itself going into the new week, as it seems Gilt investors are convinced of the…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling27 Oct 2024

UK Budget in focus this week

Sterling has managed to keep above 1.20 against the Euro but unfortunately slipped below the 1.30 handle against the Dollar. Following a relatively quiet week we saw pretty sideways price action now…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling20 Oct 2024

GBPEUR Hits 1.20 following strong retail sales.

On Friday we saw Sterling rise against the Euro above 1.20 following positive retail sales data, giving us the best GBPEUR exchange rate in over 2 years. Retail sales were expected negative,but…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling15 Sept 2024

Fed & BoE Meetings In Focus This Week

This week will most probably be the highlight for September; so far Sterling is in a good position as of the close on Friday, and we have a few releases through the week before we get to the Central…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling8 Sept 2024

Quiet week ahead on markets.

There has been a significant risk off tone in the markets over the last two weeks- where we have seen stocks sell off, and consequently, Pound Sterling as well. GBPUSD usually gets hit the most in a…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling1 Sept 2024

Pound Sterling Exchange Rates Forecast September 2024

August is generally a low liquidity month, however, we saw some pretty sharp moves on Sterling across the board with a rise on GBPEUR to 1.19, a drop to 1.15 and then a rise back to 1.19 again at the…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling26 Aug 2024

Sterling strengthening into September.

Sterling exchange rates have improved significantly since the market dropped off following the Bank of Japan rate hike, GBPEUR has now climbed back to the 1.18 level, and GBPUSD has now reached 1.32,…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling18 Aug 2024

Sterling gains across the board to end the week.

Last week was very encouraging for Sterling bulls with GBPEUR rising above 1.17 and GBPUSD rising above 1.29. Retail sales coming in strong on Friday closed off the week perfectly for Sterling,…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling11 Aug 2024

GBP Rates still subdued following market-wide sell offs.

Over the last week we have only seen a slight recovery on Sterling exchange rates, with GBPEUR now reaching 1.1680 and GBPUSD now reading 1.2750- which is still 1.5% away from the highs just two…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling4 Aug 2024

Weak NFP's cause market sell-off

Last week ended in a pretty explosive way after fewer jobs were added in the U.S than expected last month. Unemployment rose to 4.3%- essentially showing that the Fed has been behind the curve with…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling28 Jul 2024

BoE expected to cut rates this week.

Last week traders showed their hand by selling off the Pound on expectations that the BoE would be cutting interest rates this Thursday- with GBPEUR now trading at 1.1850 and GBPUSD trading at…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling21 Jul 2024

President Biden drops out of Election.

Before we get into markets- on Sunday, President Biden announced that he will be dropping out of the election- this was after rumours throughout the week that he would be doing this, however usually…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling14 Jul 2024

Pound Sterling Exchanges Rates Rise Further- GBPUSD over 1.29.

The Euros are over and we are now back to life without football- Sterling exchange rates had a strong push-up through the week with GBPEUR closing the week at 1.19 and GBPUSD closing the week above…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling30 Jun 2024

Politics take centre stage this week.

The first week of July brings is what has the potential to be a very volatile week with both UK and French elections on the cards (Alongside a very busy economic calendar). On Sunday the first round…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling23 Jun 2024

Retail Sales Push GBP higher.

After a week in the beautiful cities of Porto and Braga, I am now back in the UK and in the office- hopefully my great team have been able to take care of you all. The major story last week was the…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling9 Jun 2024

GBPEUR higher and GBPUSD lower after hot U.S Jobs report.

Last week we ended Friday with a monster jobs report out of the U.S showing that they created 272k jobs in May- this sent both GBPUSD and EURUSD lower instantly as it was a big surprise to the…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling2 Jun 2024

Pound Sterling Exchange Rates Strong Going Into June

Pound Sterling exchange rates have had a very good month in May, considering news of a UK election coming in July, the volatility has very much been swayed in favour of Sterling, which has given us a…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling27 May 2024

Sterling rallies following inflation print.

Last week was quite eventful for Stering exchange rates with a higher than expected inflation print causing GBPEUR to spike to 1.1770 and GBPUSD to 1.2770- the data overall was seen as positive as it…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling19 May 2024

GBPEUR has positive end to the week.

Last week was constructive for Sterling exchange rates with GBPEUR ending the week at 1.1685, and GBPUSD ending the week at 1.27. EURUSD was also bullish last week closing on Friday at 1.0870. As we…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling12 May 2024

Positive GDP Data Boosts Sterling Exchange Rates

The last week was pretty volatile for Sterling exchange rates, with the Pound falling prior and following the BoE decision. The simple update is that 2 members voted for a cut which meant that…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling6 May 2024

All eyes on the Bank of England this week.

Last week we saw markets take a turn following a few weeks of Dollar strength- this was reversed by the Fed meeting which made clear that the Fed is now watching data to decide when to make it's…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling21 Apr 2024

Pound Sterling Exchange Rate Falls on Talks of June Rate Cut.

Sterling exchange rates had a pretty rough week, which got rougher on Friday afternoon when BoE member Ramsden spoke and mentioned that "risks to persistence in domestic inflation pressures are…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling14 Apr 2024

GBPUSD drops to 1.24

Last week was pretty busy on the macroeconomic front with Fed minutes, the ECB confirming a rate cut from June and plenty of economic data- however, this was all over shadowed by the escalating…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling7 Apr 2024

ECB Interest Rate Decision This Week

Last week, a substantial influx of data exerted pressure on the market. Notably, Janet Yellen from the U.S. government is currently in China, engaging in discussions aimed at fostering mutually…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling31 Mar 2024

Strong start to 2024 for the Pound

March and the first quarter as a whole were very supportive for Sterling exchange rates, given the fact that we are now in an economic environment where the UK has officially fallen into a recession…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling24 Mar 2024

Pound Sterling Weakens Following BoE Meeting & Retail Sales

The Pound fell around 0.5% last week due to flat Retail Sales data and the BoE deciding to keep rates on hold- the reason why Sterling fell was the retail sales numbers came out at 0% which showed no…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling17 Mar 2024

Busy week ahead for GBP Exchange Rates

Hello all, I hope this message finds you well. Firstly, I'd like to extend my sincere apologies for my absence over the past couple of weeks. I've been on paternity leave, cherishing precious moments…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling25 Feb 2024

Sterling strengthens into March

Pound Sterling exchange rates have held up pretty well over the last week, with GBPEUR trading at 1.17 and GBPUSD trading at 1.2670- this was following strong PMI data out of the UK which suggested…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling18 Feb 2024

Negative news weighing down Sterling exchange rates

Last week delivered a blow to the Pound following GDP figures which showed the UK entered a recession last quarter- This wasn't really news to us however now it has been made official we saw an…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling11 Feb 2024

Big week for UK economic data.

Sterling exchange rates have stayed resilient over the last week with an impressive close on Friday with GBPEUR above 1.17 and GBPUSD above 1.26, following a pretty choppy week. This week we have a…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling4 Feb 2024

Sterling weaker following robust U.S jobs numbers

Last week was generally quite stable for Sterling following the Bank of England decision where rates were held with no real immediate concern for any cuts coming soon- the big news though was the NFP…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling28 Jan 2024

GBPEUR rises to 1.17

Sterling to Euro exchange rates rose again last week against the Euro following forward guidance given by the ECB. The key reason why we saw another jump in GBPEUR exchange rates is that President…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling21 Jan 2024

Sterling lower after disappointing retail sales data

A pretty well performing week was put to a halt on Sterling following retail sales data showing that UK shoppers were spending a lot less this December, this may have come down to the fact that…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling14 Jan 2024

Sterling has a positive start to 2024.

Sterling exchange rates closed on Friday net positive for the week after GDP numbers showed that the UK economy rebounded in November- however, the part that perhaps wasn't reported as much is that…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling7 Jan 2024

January outlook for Sterling exchange rates.

The first week of 2024 was relatively volatile while traders found their feet- we saw stock markets sell off pretty much everyday through the week and various data releases which moved the market- we…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling11 Dec 2023

Last Central Bank Decisions Of The Year This Week

This week is pretty huge on the data and announcement front- with plenty going on in the market since the strong NFP data on Friday which supported the Dollar against the Euro and Sterling into the…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling26 Nov 2023

Surprise upside for Pound Sterling exchange rates.

Last week's data releases provided strength for the Pound after a pretty downbeat month or so on the market- showing that UK PMI numbers were back over the 50 area, which means that the UK economy is…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling19 Nov 2023

Sterling drops after surprise weak retail sales.

Last week was generally pretty supportive for Sterling exchange rates from a data perspective- however on Friday this all changed very quickly as retail sales numbers came out as low as they were…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling13 Nov 2023

Sterling weakness sustained- Big data week for the Pound.

It is no secret that Sterling exchange rates have been under pressure over the last month, with economic sentiment weighing heavy on the Pound alongside the BoE signaling that they are at the end of…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling5 Nov 2023

Sterling rises following BoE Decision.

After an important week of data and Central Bank decisions- Sterling exchange rates have managed to stabilise higher than where they started last week, both up around 1% respectively. The main reason…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling29 Oct 2023

Big week for the markets.

The Pound has struggled to maintain any form of strength against the Euro and Dollar over the last month, with GBPEUR currently trading at 1.1470 and GBPUSD trading at 1.2110. After a dovish ECB…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling22 Oct 2023

UK experiencing stagflation?

Pound sterling exchange rates had a pretty torrid time last week following weak data releases, with the final blow coming from weaker-than-expected retail sales numbers on Friday alongside…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling15 Oct 2023

Sterling exchange rates remain weak.

GBPEUR rates have remained pretty supported over the last week with Pound to Euro rates closing the week around 1.1550- unfortunately, GBPUSD has been a different story, the last week has seen us…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling24 Sept 2023

Sterling exchange rates continue fall following BoE decision.

Sterling weakness has been the main theme of September so far, and last week we saw these moves accelerated after the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates on hold and going against market…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling17 Sept 2023

BoE to raise rates again this week.

The ECB surprised markets last week by raising interest rates by 25bps to record highs instead of keeping them on hold as initially expected- the bank now will pause on rate hikes for now and keep an…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling10 Sept 2023

GBPUSD Slips 3% in a week.

According to many analysts, the end of August marked a turning point for the Pound- with the first 2 quarters of this year pretty much fuelled by Sterling strength, it seems that is now changing with…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling3 Sept 2023

Quiet week ahead for Sterling exchange rates.

As the first full week of the month fets into full swing- we have a pretty quiet Monday with it being Labor day in the U.S- the only key release will be a speech from ECB President Lagarde, markets…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling28 Aug 2023

The Week Ahead- Sterling exchange rates.

As most of you are aware, it was a bank holiday in the UK on Monday hence the blog being one day late- we had a pretty interesting week on markets with the Jackson Hole Symposium being a non event…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling20 Aug 2023

Weak-end before the weekend for Sterling.

From Monday-Thursday Sterling actually performed pretty well on the week, with Pound to Euro rate reaching 1.1730 and the Pound to Dollar rate hitting 1.28. Unfortunately, on Friday morning, weak UK…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling13 Aug 2023

Big week ahead for Sterling Exchange Rates

After positive UK GDP data, the Pound traded a little higher on Friday after a relatively disappointing performance over the week- the data showed that the UK economy has in fact still grown a little…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling6 Aug 2023

Sterling remains stable following BoE decision.

Last week the main event was the BoE interest rate hike, where the Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps- but kept the stance of more hikes COULD happen if inflation were to go higher again,…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling30 Jul 2023

All Eyes On The Bank of England

Apologies for the lack of reports over the last few weeks- I have been in the process of moving house and now finally have my office set up so we are back to regular scheduled programming. The…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling25 Jun 2023

BoE hike throws Sterling into an interesting position.

As I mentioned last week, we were expecting a 25 bps hike from the BoE, however after another high inflation reading, the Central Bank had to make a more aggressive move on Thursday and decided to go…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling11 Jun 2023

GBPEUR at 2023 high of 1.17.

The GBPEUR exchange rate has hit a new 2023 high of 1.17 on Friday afternoon- Sterling has technically been strong over the last month or so with back-to-back gains against the Euro and Dollar. The…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling29 May 2023

GBPEUR Higher after UK Inflation data.

The last week was pretty volatile for markets- with traders now pricing in more BoE hikes this year (Expected to reach 5.5%) following inflation data showing no sign of cooling yet. Naturally, this…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling1 May 2023

Another big week for central banks.

With just a 4 day week ahead of us in the UK before the King's Coronation, we have a relatively volatile week on the cards with Central Banks as the key focus- which could present some great…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling23 Apr 2023

Weak UK Retail sales to end the week.

Last week we saw the Pound weaken slightly after disappointing retail sales figures- this was also coupled with Deputy Prime Minister Dominic Raab's resignation. Most of the drop in retail sales…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling2 Apr 2023

New Month Forecasts for Pound Sterling

Overall, the month of March was quite supportive for Sterling with GBPEUR closing the month at 1.1370 and GBPUSD closing at 1.2320. With positive GDP for the UK and a relatively stable budget, there…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling26 Mar 2023

BoE raises rates by 25bps.

Last week was pretty jam-packed as far as announcements were concerned with the Fed and the BoE both raising interest rates by 25bps. For both central banks, it is still unclear what the forward…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling19 Mar 2023

How will a banking crisis affect the FX markets?

The markets have been all over the place since the closure of SVB last week, which was joined by 5 other small banks as the week went on. The latest issue on the cards is Credit Suisse who are having…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling12 Mar 2023

ECB Rate decision this week.

Last Friday we saw the first major bank failure since 2008 when the Silicon Valley Bank was closed by Regulators- the long and short of the issues with the bank was overexposure to the tech sector…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling5 Mar 2023

Sterling weakens alongside global equities.

After quite an eventful week on the markets with GBPEUR reaching 1.14 and then retreating back to 1.1320 by Friday's close and GBPUSD hitting above 1.21 before settling at 1.20- we have a pretty…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling12 Feb 2023

Volatile week ahead for Sterling exchange rates.

Sterling has been under a lot of pressure over the last month, with the latest release being UK GDP last week which showed that the UK economy shrank a lot more than previously expected in December.…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling7 Jan 2023

Sterling ends first week of 2023 on a high.

We had an interesting first week back on the market with pretty limited data releases and Sterling exchange rates having both strong and weak days against the Euro and Dollar. The main focus for the…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling11 Dec 2022

Big week for Central Banks.

The last week has been quite supportive for Sterling exchange rates with GBPEUR trading between 1.16-1.17 and GBPUSD trading between 1.22-1.23. This has been for various reasons, one of which has…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling6 Nov 2022

Bank of England sends Sterling lower.

Last week was full of Central Bank announcements with the Fed raising rates by 75bps and the Bank of England following suit on Thursday. As always, what matters more than the actual rate decisions…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling30 Oct 2022

The Fed & BoE set to raise rates this week.

Sterling exchange rates have been performing relatively well over the last week since Rishi Sunak was made Prime Minister- we have seen GBPEUR hit 1.1650 and GBPUSD hit 1.1613. The markets seem to…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling23 Oct 2022

Another UK Prime Minister gone... Time for Rishi Sunak?

Well, it really happened. PM Liz Truss resigned from her post on Thursday after an astonishing 4 weeks on the job, it was clear that the markets were happy with this outcome with Sterling actually…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling15 Oct 2022

Truss fails to calm the markets.

We had a very eventful end to last week with Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng sacked and replaced by Jeremy Hunt. This came off the back of the BoE refusing to intervene further in the markets and halt it's…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling9 Oct 2022

UK's credit outlook downgraded to negative.

Pound sterling exchange rates suffered another blow last week as Fitch downgraded the UK's outlook to negative amidst the current issues economically. The main reason of course was due to the…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling2 Oct 2022

Sterling regains ground after Bank of England steps in.

After a very volatile week- Sterling has managed to regain ground against most majors and has returned to same levels it was trading at prior to the Chancellor's speech. This move must not be…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling25 Sept 2022

Sterling falls 3% following Chancellor's "Mini Budget"

Last week we saw a "Black Friday" event with Sterling falling over 3% against the Dollar and over 2% against the Euro. This has brought GBPUSD down to 1.0850 and GBPEUR to 1.1190. The only reason the…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling19 Sept 2022

Big week ahead for Sterling Exchange Rates.

It seems Sterling exchange rates have taken the elevator down recently with both GBPEUR and GBPUSD prices trading in the 1.13 area- for the Dollar, we have breached 35-year lows and for GBPEUR we are…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling11 Sept 2022

Market reacts positively to Lizz Truss Energy Plans.

After a very sad week following the passing of Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II, It seems that whatever is going on with the markets is trivial compared to the somber mood in the UK currently-…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling29 Aug 2022

Pound Sterling Forecast for September

Sterling exchange rates fell at the end of last week after comments from Jackson Hole, bringing GBPEUR down to 1.17 and GBPUSD down to 1.17 as well. Comments from Jackson Hole were still pretty…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling13 Aug 2022

UK GDP release "not as bad as expected"- But still not good.

On Friday morning the UK had it's GDP release that showed a contraction of 0.1% (Growth of -0.1%) for the last quarter which was slightly better than what markets were predicting. On the back of…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling7 Aug 2022

BoE Commentary Dampens Pound Sterling Forecasts

The Pound started last week on the front foot against most currencies until Thursday when the Bank of England raised interest rates by 50bps- this, itself would usually be viewed as a hawkish moment…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling31 Jul 2022

Bank of England to raise interest rates this week.

As we now enter August after a very volatile July- what we are hoping for is some calm in the market, we do usually get a "Summer Lull"- however with Central Bank activity this month, this may not be…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling3 Jul 2022

Cable falls below 1.20 amidst Global recession concerns.

It seems Sterling exchange rates have seen the last of positive days for now, with GBPEUR trading at 1.15 and GBPUSD falling into the 1.19 area on Friday. The reason for these movements is simple,…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling22 May 2022

Positive Retail Sales Surprise Boosts Sterling

After a relatively rough week on the market, Sterling exchange rates got a boost following better than expected retail sales figures out of the UK- with food and fuel sales both higher than the…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling16 May 2022

Sterling Underperformance To Begin The Week

Sterling opened on Monday on a softer note with GBPEUR trading around 1.1750-1.18 and GBPUSD trading between 1.22-1.23. Fortunately, a higher close on Monday has given hope for a better Tuesday.…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling24 Apr 2022

Sterling loses 1.5% against majors following weak retail sales.

it was a relatively positive week for Sterling exchange rates with the GBPEUR price comfortably above 1.20 and GBPUSD above 1.30- that was until Friday- when we saw a much weaker than expected retail…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling17 Apr 2022

Sterling rebounds and fuels more positive forecasting.

Firstly, I hope you are all refreshed after the bank holiday- before we got our long weekend, we saw a very strong push on the GBPEUR exchange rate above 1.21 and GBPUSD above 1.31. What was most…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling27 Mar 2022

Pound Sterling Forecast- Week Ahead

We are now entering the end of the month and the financial year- currently, GBPEUR is sitting at 1.20 and GBPUSD is just under 1.32. After a pretty hot CPI release for the UK, and a relatively…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling20 Mar 2022

Sterling Exchange Rates Lower Following BoE Rate Hike.

Last week we saw Pound Sterling exchange rates fall following the Bank of England decision to raise interest rates by 25bps to 0.75%. Members voted 8-1 in favor of the hike and signaled that there…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling27 Feb 2022

Russia & Ukraine Conflict Still Dominating Markets.

In last week's article I mentioned that the focus for exchange rates would be the ongoing tensions between Russia & Ukraine- over the last few days we saw these tensions escalate after Russia began…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling20 Feb 2022

Sterling exchange rates continue higher.

Last week saw more volatility across all markets, mainly due to the Fed and the ongoing situation between Russia & Ukraine. We saw GBPEUR rise from 1.19-1.20 by Friday close, with GBPUSD a little…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling13 Feb 2022

Sterling finishes the week higher before eventful week.

We are now 2 months into 2022, and it seems this year is going to be just as eventful as the last couple! We had plenty of announcements and data releases last week which managed to push Sterling…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling16 Jan 2022

GBPEUR Faces large resistance at 1.20.

Last week, Sterling exchange rates continued its ascending move against most major currencies with GBPEUR tapping the 1.20 handle (Albeit briefly) and GBPUSD going above 1.37 (5% up from Decembers…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling9 Jan 2022

Pound Sterling Begins 2022 with Strength.

The first official trading week of the year was significantly bullish for Sterling exchange rates; with GBPEUR closing the week at 1.1960 and GBPUSD closing the week at 1.3584 (After a very weak NFP…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling19 Dec 2021

Sterling exchange rates supported after BoE rate hike.

Last week saw a week full of Central Bank decisions which ultimately have begun to dictate how exchange rates will look from January 2022- the first major event was the Fed announcing that they will…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling12 Dec 2021

All Eyes On Central Banks This Week.

Traditionally, December is a relatively illiquid month for the markets- but at the moment, with everything going on- we are seeing plenty of market movement on both the FX and stock markets due to…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling28 Nov 2021

Omicron Variant Takes Markets By Storm.

On Friday we saw a pretty deep sell-off across all markets (FX, Cryptocurrencies & Equities) following news of the Omicron Variant and countries beginning to react. We have already seen numerous…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling21 Nov 2021

Pound Sterling Exchange Rates Outperform.

The Pound had a great week last week after a number of supportive data releases in the UK including positive employment numbers, rising inflation, and an improvement in Retail spending. All three of…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling14 Nov 2021

Volatile week ahead for Sterling exchange rates.

November has already shown itself to be a very volatile month with ranges on GBPEUR between 1.16-1.18 and GBPUSD ranges between 1.33-1.36. Of course, the main reasons for this volatility were due to…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling6 Nov 2021

Bank of England Pulls the Rug from beneath Sterling.

This last week was pretty rough for Sterling exchange rates- as I explained in my previous article there were two major events last week, the Fed and the BoE. The market had been positioning for the…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling31 Oct 2021

Central Banks In Focus This Week

October was a relatively strong month for Sterling with pretty hawkish comments coming from the Bank of England over the month giving markets an opportunity to begin pricing in interest rate hikes…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling3 Oct 2021

End Of Month/Quarter Moves on Sterling Reversed.

Last month was an EXTREMELY volatile week for Sterling- with GBPEUR falling to 1.1550, GBPUSD falling to 1.34, and EURUSD also falling to 1.1560. Now, if you were to read the tabloids, you would…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling12 Sept 2021

Pound Sterling Exchange Rates Stronger Into New Week.

Sterling exchange rates (predominantly against the Euro) will enter the next week a lot stronger, after pretty good momentum for Pound to Euro exchange rates over the last few days- despite a pretty…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling23 Aug 2021

Market awaits Jackson Hole for the next move.

This week has begun on a slightly quieter note- with the main event being Jackson Hole Thursday-Friday this week- Sterling exchange rates ended last week slightly lower across the board after a surge…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling8 Aug 2021

Sterling exchange rates strong into GDP release.

Sterling exchange rates have seen a couple of weeks of non-stop gains, predominantly against the Euro with exchange rates going above 1.18 on Friday. The latest Bank of England meeting supported…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling1 Aug 2021

Sterling exchange rates end July on a high... What's next?

Sterling managed to recover its losses against the Euro going into the end of July and managed to recover to 1.39 against the Dollar. We saw the Dollar Index strengthen through July which managed to…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling18 Jul 2021

Bank of England Supports Sterling Strength.

Over the last week, we saw Sterling exchange rates rise above 1.17 against the Euro before closing the week at a level of 1.1650. Sterling has remained slightly weaker against the U.S Dollar as…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling11 Jul 2021

GBPEUR settles at 1.17 prior to UK reopening.

Sterling to Euro exchange rates have settled in a positive area over the last week with prices staying in the 1.16-1.17 area- and we have finally seen a slight reversal in Dollar strength as of…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling27 Jun 2021

Pound Sterling Exchange Rates Week Ahead

We saw GBP exchange rates soften after a strong run up to the Bank of England interest rate decision on Thursday, the reason for the sell off was more of a "Buy the rumour, sell the news" event as no…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling6 Jun 2021

Sterling exchange rates on the front foot... For now.

The last week was a positive one for Sterling exchange rates with GBPEUR hitting 1.1670 and GBPUSD going to 1.4250 due to positive UK data over the week. Generally, we have had pretty boring FX…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling31 May 2021

What's next for Sterling exchange rates?

It has been yet another eventful month- with Sterling managing to creep back up against most major currencies- ending the month at 1.42 against the U.S Dollar and above 1.16 against the Euro. The…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling15 May 2021

Strong Week For Pound Sterling Exchange Rates.

Over the last week we have seen Sterling exchange rates continue to rise against the Euro & Dollar as the UK plans to move to the next stage of reopening on 17th May- which will see many more…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling3 May 2021

Sterling exchange rates stable going into May.

It has been quite an interesting month as far as FX movement is concerned on G10 pairs- from the beginning of April to the end GBPEUR has traded as low as 1.1460 and as high as 1.1784 and GBPUSD has…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling25 Apr 2021

Sterling recovery next on the cards.

Over the last few weeks we have seen Sterling exchange rates begin to fall predominantly against the Euro and Dollar as we have seen strength and progress in Europe and the USA's vaccination…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling18 Apr 2021

Rough week for Sterling exchange rates as UK opens up.

Last week was a relatively bad week for Sterling exchange rates; we saw GBPEUR as low as 1.1460 and GBPUSD as low as 1.3740 before rising again on Friday ending the week higher. Interestingly enough…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling28 Mar 2021

Sterling exchange rates close higher across the board.

After what seemed like a very long week- it seemed that the main topic was vaccination exports and supply- with much news coming from the UK & EU about exports being blocked and supply being lower.…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling13 Feb 2021

Sterling exchange rates remain steady.

Last week was rather uneventful for Sterling as we managed to hold the key 1.14 area against the Euro and 1.38 against the U.S Dollar. So far Sterling strength is playing out as we expected, however…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling10 Jan 2021

Sterling Exchange Rates- 2021 gets off to an interesting start.

I must say, the last week has felt like a year! Never have I experienced such an eventful first week of a year in my entire life. It seems 2021 did not want to ease us in and just get straight to it!…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling3 Jan 2021

Pound Sterling Forecast 2021

I hope you all had a great Christmas and New Year- in a blink it seems we are now in 2021, but fortunately, not carrying some of the baggage from 2020. On Christmas Eve, the Brexit trade deal was…

By Prem Raja · 4 min read

Pound Sterling20 Dec 2020

Pound Sterling News- Another day... Another Brexit deadline.

On the Brexit front, we have yet another uneventful weekend- with no real news coming from talks apart from the fact that Brexit negotiators will continue into Monday. On Thursday, the EU made Sunday…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling13 Dec 2020

Pound Sterling Exchange Rates Expected To Bounce

Last week became extremely eventful after Boris Johnson's meeting with EU Commission President Ursulsa von der Leyen seemed to go South and No-Deal preparations were the only headline you could read…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling6 Dec 2020

Brexit News- Both sides in a standoff- Volatile week ahead.

In all honesty, I think the title of this article really says it all. I have been patiently watching my screens all weekend waiting for something of substance to arrive on my screen which would give…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling22 Nov 2020

Brexit still controlling the Sterling narrative.

As a whole, I would say that last week was pretty flat for Sterling; we didn't see much movement in either direction which was pretty typical for the third week of the month- this week however, does…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling8 Nov 2020

Pound Sterling Forecast- Biden wins U.S Presidential Election

Well, that was one very LONG week! But after a few sleepless nights of watching CNN, we finally have a result on the Elections and Joe Biden and Kamala Harris will be the next President and Vice…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling11 Oct 2020

Pound Sterling Forecast- Week Ahead

The last week definitely flew by quicker than usual... the risks we had last week are in some ways different to what is ahead of us now- President Trump is now out of hospital and back in the White…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling4 Oct 2020

Pound Sterling Exchange Rates Rise On Brexit Deal Hopes

It was nice to see Pound to Euro and Pound to Dollar exchange rates rise a little over the last week on the back of Brexit talks going a little better than expected. We closed on Friday with GBPEUR…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling27 Sept 2020

Sterling exchange rates continue to lose ground.

And just like that, another month is about to end and we are officially about to enter October- for a year where we couldn't do much, time definitely seems to have flown faster than usual! Last week…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling20 Sept 2020

Pound Sterling Exchange Rates In Dangerous Territory

A scary headline I know... But that is exactly where we are right now. Brexit has been our main headline so far in September, which, for a lack of a better word, absolutely decimated any gains that…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling13 Sept 2020

Brexit slams Sterling exchange rates.

Well, I guess the title says it all, doesn't it? I said last week that Brexit could add some volatility, and it looks like it went 10 steps further and grabbed the spotlight for the whole week…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling6 Sept 2020

Sterling exchange rates fall with the U.S stock market.

The euphoric rises in the markets were put to a halt on Thursday as risk appetite suddenly faltered; with Tech stocks leading the drop from Thursday into Friday. Now, in reality, the market had been…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling31 Aug 2020

What will Sterling exchange rates do in September?

And just like that; a new month is upon us. This year has gone both slow and fast at the same time. We are now out of the "Summer Markets" and preparing to go back into full swing. Most traders will…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling26 Jul 2020

GBPUSD rises as GBPEUR tanks.

Last week we saw GBPEUR exchange rates decline to 1.0970 as the Euro caught a major bid throughout the week following the EU recovery fund news- we also saw EURUSD gain around 2% on the week, which…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling19 Jul 2020

Sterling continues to soften through uncertainty.

Last week we saw Sterling begin to weaken further- predominantly against the Euro as exchange rates entered the 1.09 area on Friday- this was mainly due to optimism about the EU recovery fund being…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling12 Jul 2020

Will Pound Sterling Exchange Rates Continue Rising?

Last week we saw Pound Sterling Exchange Rates continue to rally across the board, closing Friday at 1.1170 against the Euro and above 1.26 against the U.S Dollar. The main catalyst for this was the…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling28 Jun 2020

Sterling exchange rates this week.

Sterling saw it's 3rd week of declines by the end of the week as risks entered the market again- concerns about the U.S-China trade deal, coronavirus, and the UK trade deals with the EU & Japan got…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling21 Jun 2020

Sterling exchange rates back to underperforming.

What a week... After a good little spell for Sterling through early June, we finally started to see GBP exchange rates crumble under pressure. In one week, we have seen GBPUSD exchange rates drop…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling14 Jun 2020

Eventful week ahead for Sterling exchange rates.

We saw Pound to Dollar exchange rates rally last week up to 1.28 (Albeit was only for around 60 seconds) during the Fed meeting where it was announced that there were no further measures for now. My…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling31 May 2020

UK Economy begins phased reopening.

Last week was busy politically as UK PM Boris Johnson announced that the UK economy will begin reopening from June 1st, with other non-essential businesses opening June 15th. This has received some…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling17 May 2020

Brexit talks spark another sell-off in Sterling.

Pound to Euro rates had their worst week since the big pandemic sell-off in March- closing on Friday evening at lows of 1.1180, which was an over 2% drop. Against other currencies, Sterling fell…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling10 May 2020

The U.K to remain in lockdown until June at earliest.

On Sunday evening, PM Boris Johnson announced that, in short, the UK lockdown will remain until June at the earliest. Some industries (i.e construction) will be able to return to work immediately…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling26 Apr 2020

Sterling Exchange Rates Remain Steady Throughout Volatile Week.

Last week was extremely volatile, following big moves in equities- and shocking moves in oil futures prices which dragged the whole market down with it. The only winner last week was the U.S Dollar,…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling10 Apr 2020

How is Covid-19 affecting Sterling exchange rates?

Ever since coronavirus was labelled a global pandemic, it has unfortunately spread very fast around the world, but not just through people- through economies as well. A country’s currency is directly…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling22 Mar 2020

Sterling hits news lows as Covid-19 spreads across the UK.

Sterling lost a lot of ground over the last week against most major currencies- seeing lows of 1.14 against the U.S Dollar and 1.06 against the Euro. The Bank of England cut rates to 0.10% and…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling1 Mar 2020

Sterling sees largest weekly loss since Oct 2016 flash crash.

Well, what a week it was for Sterling; We saw GBPEUR drop to 1.16 (From 1.20) and GBPUSD drop to 1.27 (From 1.30). There have been several reasons for the drop over the last week; the main ones being…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling23 Feb 2020

Sterling exchange rates dragged below key levels.

Sterling had a good start to last week- this was unfortunately short-lived as GBPEUR exchange rates fell to the 1.19 area and GBPUSD fell as low as 1.28. The reason for this was a mix of Brexit deal…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling17 Feb 2020

Sterling Finds Support As Week Begins

Last week the Pound was boosted by the resignation of Sajid Javid, and the choosing of his replacement- Rishi Sunak. The basis of this GBP strength is that Boris Johnson will now have more control…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling14 Feb 2020

Sterling Bounces

EUR EURUSD relentless offered tone continues, with a lot of traders and spec players getting severe FOMO and seeing some participation via downside structures being put in place. Still reluctant to…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling9 Feb 2020

What's next for Sterling exchange rates?

Last week, Sterling fell by around 1% across the board and was the worst-performing currency of the week following negative rhetoric surrounding the UK-EU trade deal expected to be done this year.…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling5 Jan 2020

Pound Sterling Report

Finally, now Christmas and New Year is out of the way, we can get back on to the markets and see what is ahead of us over the next few weeks! As we entered 2020, Sterling lost the majority of its…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling8 Dec 2019

Sterling hits highs prior to General Election this week.

Last week, the odds for a Conservative majority to be achieved rose above 70% (On Betfair), which was the catalyst for Sterling rising to 1.1850 against the Euro and 1.3150 against the U.S Dollar. It…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling1 Dec 2019

December 2019 Sterling Exchange Rate Outlook

The markets have been relatively volatile over the last few weeks due to the upcoming General Election- and with opinion polls coming out on a daily basis with different results- I thought now would…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling18 Nov 2019

Selling A Property In The USA?

As you may have seen, GBPUSD exchange rates have been slowly moving up from the lows of 1.22 in October, to currently trading just below the 1.30 area. To put this in context, A purchase of 200,000…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling17 Nov 2019

Sterling Exchange Rates Continue To Strengthen.

Sterling exchange rates have been a lot more positive over the last week with GBPEUR hitting 1.17 and GBPUSD crossing 1.29 . We did briefly see Sterling touch these levels at the end of October, but…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling10 Nov 2019

Markets remain focused on UK General Election

The Pound has been in a sideways range over the past week against the Euro, floating between the 1.1550-1.1620 range. I believe the reason for this is that the market has currently priced in a…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling26 Oct 2019

What's next for Sterling exchange rates?

It has been an eventful few months since Boris Johnson took over as Prime Minister- we have seen Sterling exchange rates fall by around 7-8% and then bounce back another 5% over the last month, both…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling22 Oct 2019

Sterling begins to lose gains after Government defeat.

Boris Johnson's hopes of getting his Brexit deal fast-tracked through Parliament were lost on Tuesday evening following a defeat in a vote for his Brexit timetable in Parliament. The Government won…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling13 Oct 2019

Sterling rises dramatically following positive Brexit news.

We had a great end to last week following reports that Brexit negotiations are going well and both the UK and EU see a route forward for a deal to be done by October 31st. Through Thursday and Friday…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling29 Sept 2019

Sterling falls as Brexit negotiations take headlines.

Political tensions in the UK have risen following the Supreme Court deeming Boris Johnson's prorogue of Parliament to be unlawful. Parliament immediately returned to the House of Commons following…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling21 Sept 2019

Sterling rises following positive Brexit headlines.

It has been another positive week for Sterling following events from Central Banks and Brexit news. We saw GBPUSD above 1.25 and GBPEUR above 1.13 after the Fed announced their interest rate cut and…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling15 Sept 2019

Sterling continues to strengthen...For now.

Last week Sterling began to trade higher against the Euro & Dollar- hitting 1.1280 against the Euro and crossing 1.25 against the U.S Dollar. The Euro weakened significantly last week following the…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling6 Sept 2019

Sterling Strengthens Following Turbulent Week Of Politics.

Sterling exchange rates have been very volatile over the last week due to developments in UK Parliament. We have seen major strength in the Pound since Boris Johnson was defeated in Parliament after…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling1 Sept 2019

Fresh Volatility Ahead For Sterling Exchange Rates.

In last week's article, I mentioned there was potential for an uptrend in GBPEUR exchange rates- and fortunately, we have seen the third week of consecutive gains for GBPEUR. There was short term…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling26 Aug 2019

Will Sterling Continue To Strengthen?

Over the past week, we have seen GBPEUR & GBPUSD begin to rise following positive comments after Boris Johnson's meetings with Macron & Merkel- in an interview on Sunday he stated that a better deal…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling3 Aug 2019

Sterling continues to weaken due to Brexit Uncertainty.

The UK officially now has a new PM, and once Boris Johnson took the reigns, we initially saw Sterling gain around 1% across the board- these gains were short-lived as Boris followed up with setting…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling21 Jul 2019

Boris Johnson Set To Become UK PM

As last week concluded, we began to see Sterling strengthen against the Euro and the Dollar by around 1% which was positive for Sterling sellers. The reason for this is that Sterling had begun to…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling14 Jul 2019

What's next for Sterling exchange rates?

The last week was fairly quiet for Sterling exchange rates, with both GBPEUR and GBPUSD moving within a 1% range for the whole week. The main focus was on Fed Chair Powell pretty much confirming an…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling30 Jun 2019

Sterling continues to weaken for 8th week running.

For those of you trading Sterling, you would know that since Easter, we have seen a downtrend on the Pound against all majors, but mainly against the Euro. We are currently trading between…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling23 Jun 2019

Last round of Conservative Leadership Race- Boris VS Jeremy

It has been yet another volatile week for exchange rates with the Fed signalling a rate cut for July, the U.S being on the brink of another war, and Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt being the final…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling19 May 2019

Volatility expected for Sterling

There have been several important political developments over the last 24 hours which have begun to impact Sterling in a big way. British PM, Theresa May has confirmed that she will announce her…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling16 Mar 2019

Will we see further Sterling volatility this week?

The last week went pretty much as expected as far as politics is concerned, PM Theresa May's deal was rejected and MP's voted to file for an extension of Article 50- which could now mean more…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling10 Feb 2019

Sterling volatility still centre of attention.

Sterling exchange rates have experienced a lot of volatility over the last week- the first part of volatility was due to BoE Governor Mark Carney making comments about the UK economic outlook, most…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling27 Jan 2019

GBPEUR hits highest level since 2017 & GBPUSD back above 1.31

From the headline, you would assume that all Brexit fears were non-existent and that there were plenty of positive factors underlying Sterling exchange rates currently- the reality is that neither is…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling20 Jan 2019

Sterling continues to rise through UK political turmoil.

Last week was potentially one of the biggest weeks in UK politics, with a historical defeat for Theresa May's deal, with a vote of no confidence the following day. With these results, the assumption…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling13 Jan 2019

What to expect from the Pound this week

I'm having Deja-vu, it feels like we've been in this exact same situation before! MP's will finally vote on Theresa May's deal on Tuesday 15th January (Which is also my birthday, so I am hoping for a…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling6 Jan 2019

What's next for Sterling exchange rates?

I hope you all had a wonderful festive period and new year- trading resumed last week but I thought I would leave it a week before I wrote my first report of 2019 as the first week is generally…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling16 Dec 2018

Brexit uncertainty keeps Pound weak.

Another confusing week on the markets- as nothing went to the Government's initial plan; Theresa May decided to cancel the House of Commons vote for her Brexit deal so she could go and get…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling8 Dec 2018

How will the Brexit vote this week affect exchange rates?

Sterling exchange rates have been extremely volatile over the last couple of weeks due to the upcoming House of Common's vote on the current proposed Brexit deal- the biggest problem for the Pound is…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling2 Dec 2018

Sterling Exchange Rates Still Fragile Into December

Sterling exchange rates have been extremely fragile over the last 2 weeks with a vote upcoming for The PM's latest Brexit deal- the reason why the Pound has been so weak is due to the fact that many…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling18 Nov 2018

Political turmoil weakens Sterling exchange rates.

Just over one week ago, the GBPEUR exchange rate had hit the best price in over a year with hopes that a new Brexit deal was ready to be done- these hopes were quickly broken following the PM's…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling11 Nov 2018

Sterling falls again as doubts on Brexit deal set in.

Last week was pretty strong for the Pound as we saw 1.15 break briefly against the Euro- this was due to reports coming from Parliament that a Brexit deal is "95% done" which had the market certain…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling4 Nov 2018

Will A Brexit Deal Be Done This Month?

I am sure by now we are all sick of these Brexit headlines, but unfortunately, until we have a resolution they will continue. The UK seems confident that a deal will happen this month- the only…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling28 Oct 2018

Sterling remains under pressure during Brexit negotiations.

We have seen Sterling exchange rates fall over the last couple of weeks from recent highs- falling to 1.12 against the Euro and 1.2790 against the U.S Dollar. It seems the only reason for this is…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling7 Oct 2018

Sterling rebounds as chances of a Brexit deal increase.

Pound Sterling exchange rates hit a 3 month high against the Euro last week following positive remarks from the UK & EU in regards to a potential Brexit deal and the Irish border. Jean-Claude Juncker…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling1 Oct 2018

Volatile time ahead for the Pound

The Pound held pretty steadily last week against the Euro & Dollar through the beginning of last week until the Federal Reserve put up interest rates and traders started selling off the Pound prior…

By The Currency Desk · 1 min read

Pound Sterling9 Sept 2018

Volatile Week Ahead For Sterling Exchange Rates

The last week was volatile for the Pound, especially due to comments made in regards to Brexit negotiations from Germany, basically saying that they were happy to "Simplify" talks to ensure a deal…

By The Currency Desk · 2 min read

Pound Sterling2 Sept 2018

GBP Exchange Rates Stronger Following Barnier Comments

Over the last week, we have finally had some positive news in regards to Brexit negotiations following comments from Michel Barnier stating that both the EU and the UK have every intention of trying…

By The Currency Desk · 1 min read

Pound Sterling29 Aug 2018

Sterling Exchange Rates Hit 2018 Lows

GBPEUR exchange rates are now at the lowest level that we have seen so far this year. As many of you may know, the GBPEUR rate has been on a downward trend since we hit 1.15 and hasn't found a low to…

By The Currency Desk · 1 min read

Pound Sterling24 May 2018

Will GBPEUR exchange rates bounce back this week?

The Pound has been on a downward trend ever since the last BoE rate decision, but surprisingly enough, much of the impact has been on GBPUSD exchange rates as opposed to the GBPEUR rate. The reason…

By The Currency Desk · 2 min read

Pound Sterling23 Apr 2018

Sterling Weakens Following BoE Governor Mark Carney’s Comments

Last week was going very well until UK data releases starting to show holes in the UK economy, if you read my previous article you would know we were already expecting lower retail sales figures due…

By The Currency Desk · 2 min read

Pound Sterling20 Apr 2018

Sterling Exchange Rates Weaken Further Following UK GDP Data

Following weak GDP Data in the UK, Sterling exchange rates began to fall further with GBPUSD exchange rates now below 1.39 and GBPEUR exchange rates now below 1.14. The reason why this has weakened…

By The Currency Desk · 1 min read

Pound Sterling16 Apr 2018

Will The Pound Continue To Remain Strong Through This Week?

The last week has been relatively positive for Sterling exchange rates, and many clients have been taking advantage of the current prices on GBPEUR & GBPUSD. On Monday morning we will see if there is…

By The Currency Desk · 2 min read

Pound Sterling3 Apr 2018

What Will Affect Sterling Exchange Rates In Q2?

As we step into Q2 of 2018, we have seen an extremely volatile Pound as Brexit negotiations have dictated how Sterling has moved over the last few months. It seems that now Europe and the UK have…

By The Currency Desk · 2 min read

Pound Sterling26 Mar 2018

Strong Week For Sterling Exchange Rates

The Pound had a very positive week following a transition deal being agreed for Brexit alongside strong wages data and a very bullish Bank of England statement. GBPEUR exchange rates hit 1.15 and…

By The Currency Desk · 1 min read

Pound Sterling19 Mar 2018

Volatile Week Ahead For Sterling Exchange Rates

The Pound has remained pretty steady against most major currencies over the last week, in anticipation of this coming week. To recap, so far in 2018 the Bank of England have signaled they may look to…

By The Currency Desk · 2 min read

Pound Sterling12 Mar 2018

Sterling Exchange Rates Still Steady As Brexit Talks Resume

Sterling exchange rates haven’t really moved higher since Theresa May’s speech- the reason for this is because the EU has made clear that they are happy to have a free trade deal, but this will not…

By The Currency Desk · 2 min read

Pound Sterling5 Mar 2018

Sterling Weaker Following Speech From Theresa May

The main event of last week was the highly anticipated speech from UK PM Theresa May where she was expected to speak about the plans for Brexit moving forward. Many believed that this would be…

By The Currency Desk · 2 min read

Pound Sterling19 Feb 2018

What's Next For Sterling Exchange Rates In February?

GBPUSD exchange rates have remained strong above 1.40, while the GBPEUR exchange rate has remained range bound between 1.12-1.13. Following weaker than expected Retail sales data from the UK on…

By The Currency Desk · 2 min read

Pound Sterling12 Feb 2018

Brexit Headlines Keep Sterling Exchange Rates Low

Last week the Pound seemed to be having a pretty positive week following the BoE interest rate decision where Mark Carney commented that an interest rate hike “sooner rather than later” will be on…

By The Currency Desk · 2 min read

Pound Sterling18 May 2015

Greece deadline moved to June/July- Weekly Currency Forecast

Some of you may re call that I wrote an article last month about why the Greece deadline won't be until June/July and as of last week, this has started to come into fruition. It seems that Greece…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling10 May 2015

Tories win UK election- Sterling strengthens!

Thursday- Friday were an extremely busy 24 hours on the markets- exit polls on Thursday evening suggested that Conservative would swing the election, which caused the Pound to surge around 3% in 60…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling6 May 2015

How Will The UK Election Today Affect The Currency Markets?

The UK election is finally here, and with a busy few months of campaigning from the political parties we have seen just as much action on the currency markets! As you may or may not be aware, the…

By Prem Raja · 4 min read

Pound Sterling10 Mar 2015

GBPEUR ABOVE 1.40- EURUSD AT 1.07. GBPUSD AT 1.50

GBPEUR Hits new high of 1.40 So what's next? Today has been an absolutely monumental day on the markets; For the first time in 7 years we have seen the GBPEUR exchange rate above 1.40 . The first…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling1 Feb 2015

GREECE TO STAY IN EUROPE? AUSTRALIA & NEW ZEALAND RATE CUTS

We saw the GBPEUR exchange fall from 1.34 down to 1.32 as this week ended; The initial push on the exchange rates was the results of the Greek election; However following this, the ECB confirmed that…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling18 Jan 2015

ECB DECISION, SWISS FRANC, GBPEUR 6 YEAR HIGH, QE?

The market is still in a state of panic since the SNB decision last Thursday. For those of you who don’t know what happened; The Swiss National Bank decided to remove their capped exchange rate on…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling19 Aug 2014

Fall in UK inflation leads to Sterling weakness

This morning we saw the release of CPI (Inflation) data for the UK, the data showed a fall from 1.8% (Previous and expected) to 1.6%. Now for the general public, this isn't necessarily a bad thing,…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling3 Aug 2014

Eventful week on the markets

Last week was very eventful on the FX markets- we have seen the US Dollar gain momentum due to the additional Fed Tapering. This week should also be a busy one; so if you are looking to purchase your…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling6 Jul 2014

Is Sterling Due A Retracement?

Last week we saw GBPEUR rates go beyond 1.26 and GBPUSD rates nearly hit 1.72 - Both being massive highs for these currency pairs. The question on everyone's mind now is- How long will this last?…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling29 Jun 2014

Is the UK recovery real?

The U.K. economy is finally leaving behind the mire of the financial crisis. House prices hit a new record in May eclipsing the pre-crisis peak in October 2007. Unemployment has fallen to 6.8%,…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling27 Jun 2014

UK GDP FIGURES ARE OUT!

This morning UK GDP figures were released; On par QoQ at 0.8% however the year on year expectation has been revised down to 3.0%. On first look this may seem like this has come out weak for the UK,…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling19 Jun 2014

GBPUSD AT 1.70!

The Dollar has dropped against all the major currencies after the Federal Reserve Bank in America has stated that interest rates will remain at record low levels for a considerable time. The U.S.…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling15 Jun 2014

Weekly Forecast (15/06/2014)

After a busy week on the markets following the BoE's shock announcement about an interest rate rise; Sterling was given a significant boost past the 1.25 area against the Euro and above 1.69 against…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling1 Jun 2014

What will the ECB do?

The first week of June is a key week for anyone purchasing or selling the Euro; Inflation is very low in Europe and it seems the ECB are running out of options in regards to how to stop this from…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling27 May 2014

Weekly Market Update

On Monday we had no key data, being a bank holiday the rates were quiet static. Today we have only the Consumer Confidence data from the US, which is expected to be strong from their economy as it is…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling23 May 2014

Sterling is at its strongest level since 2008!

THE pound rose to its highest level in five years yesterday after fresh evidence of economic recovery re-ignited the debate about when interest rates might rise. Sterling has risen by 11% in the last…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling21 May 2014

Sterling strength today following UK Retail sales!

As predicted on Monday (It's nice to be right!) Retail sales figures today came in extremely strong at 1.2% (Predicted to come in at 0.5%) So this exceeded expectations in a big way! Sterling is…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling19 May 2014

Market Update

There is no key economic data today that would affect the GBP against other major currencies, so we expect a stable market today as a whole; However on Tuesday we have German Producer Price Index…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling14 May 2014

UK Unemployment Rate Falls To 6.8%

The number of people out of work in the UK fell by 133,000 to a fresh 5 year low of 2.2 million in the three months to March. The unemployment rate now stands at 6.8%, with the number of people in…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling11 May 2014

Will Sterling continue it's recent strength?

Last week was very busy in terms of data on the FX markets; We started with a Bank of England interest rate and asset purchase facility decision, both remained unchanged, with the interest rate…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling5 May 2014

Weekly Forecast

After a relaxing bank holiday weekend; it's time to get back to the daily grind! Though it was a bank holiday in the UK today, there has been data releases from Europe & the U.S with Eurozone Sentix…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Pound Sterling29 Apr 2014

UK GDP FIGURES UP AT 0.8%

UK GDP figures have just been released at 0.8%; 0.1% lower than expected. Markets have already started reacting to this data with rates slightly lower this morning; GBPEUR- 1.2120 GBPUSD- 1.6797…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling27 Apr 2014

Weekly Outlook (28/04/15- 02/05/14)

GBP had an uneventful week and was practically unchanged. GBPUSD closed the week just shy of the 1.68 line. This week’s highlights are Preliminary GDP and Construction and Manufacturing PMIs. Here is…

By Prem Raja · 3 min read

Pound Sterling23 Apr 2014

UK economy picking up speed- But Sterling weakens...

It is with no doubt that Britain's economy is gaining momentum, but it seems BoE's policy makers held very different views when it came down to the inflation outlook and how long this momentum will…

By Prem Raja · 1 min read

Pound Sterling21 Apr 2014

Busy week this week for the Pound!

After a nice relaxing bank holiday weekend; there will be no easing into things from tomorrow morning; Sterling has been going from strength to strength over the past 2 weeks, but how long will it…

By Prem Raja · 2 min read

Frequently asked

About Pound Sterling

What drives the Pound Sterling?+

GBP is driven primarily by Bank of England interest-rate expectations, UK inflation and wage data, gilt yields relative to US Treasuries and Bunds, and UK political risk. Global risk sentiment matters too — the Pound tends to weaken when equities sell off.

Is the Pound expected to rise or fall?+

The direction of GBP depends on how the Bank of England's rate path compares with the Federal Reserve and ECB. When markets expect the BoE to cut more slowly than peers, Sterling typically strengthens against the Dollar and Euro.

What is a good GBP/USD or GBP/EUR rate?+

There is no absolute 'good' rate — it depends on the multi-year range. Historically, GBP/USD above 1.30 and GBP/EUR above 1.18 have been considered strong. Live rates and 90-day charts are on our tools page.

How often is Pound Sterling analysis published?+

The Currency Desk publishes weekly analysis on GBP, plus additional briefings around major events such as Bank of England meetings, UK CPI releases and Budget days.